How Gold Miners Can Leverage the Price of Gold

Posted on December 17, 2012 by Angela Stern

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Gazing into their crystal balls in recent days, Wall Street firms interpreted differing futures for gold next year. Morgan Stanley awarded gold the “best commodity for 2013” while Goldman Sachs called the end of the metal’s hot streak.

After seeing 11 consecutive years of positive performance from gold, one needs to be wary of research analysts’ price forecasts, as they have consistently underestimated the shifting dynamics driving the precious metal higher.

Take a look at analysts’ annual predictions of gold prices, which is “a telling picture,” CEO Nick Holland of Gold Fields told the crowd at a mining conference last summer. From 2006 through 2011, Bloomberg’s contributing analysts have forecasted that future gold prices would be lower. “The analysts who keep telling us the gold price is going down have been wrong seven years out of seven. That’s a remarkable track record!” says Holland.

t is worth keeping gold’s DNA of volatility in mind as the day-to-day price of gold naturally fluctuates, of course. This is the case for both gold and gold equities.

The upside to gold stocks is that investors historically have received a 2-to-1 leverage by owning gold equities instead of the commodity. U.S. Global’s Portfolio Manager Brian Hicks reminded The Gold Report readers of this fact during an extensive conversation that he and Portfolio Manager Ralph Aldis had with Brian Sylvester.

We believe that effective management can help miners gain more leverage over the metal for their shareholders. Picture the gold price as a pulley with gold company executives applying force on one side of a rope. The more disciplined and successful the management, the bigger the potential boost in gold equity returns.

BofA Favors Gold, Copper for 2013 as Commodities Outlook Neutral

Posted on December 11, 2012 by PMBG

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Gold, copper, silver, platinum and palladium will outperform other commodities next year on easing by the U.S. Federal Reserve and supply constraints, according to Bank of America Corp.

Global economic growth will average 3.2 percent in 2013, “modestly” supporting demand for raw materials, analysts led by Francisco Blanch said in a report today. The so-called fiscal cliff of automatic tax increases and budget cuts could tip the U.S. economy into recession and “abrupt policy changes” in Europe may cause “large commodity price swings,” the analysts wrote. The bank is neutral on commodities, John Bilton, European investment strategist, told reporters in London today.

“We expect large-scale policy easing by the Fed and the ECB should push gold prices higher,” the analysts wrote, forecasting gold prices at $2,000 an ounce for 2013 and $2,400 for the end of 2014. “A stronger Chinese economy will likely lend support to supply constrained metals next year, and we expect copper prices to average $7,750 a ton in the fourth quarter of 2013.”

Commodities as tracked by the Standard & Poor’s GSCI Spot Index are down 2 percent this year, led by declines in coffee, sugar and cotton. The gauge almost doubled in the three years to 2011 as central banks and governments around the world took action to boost their economies hurt by the global financial crisis in 2008.

Spot gold, up 9.2 percent in 2012, is rallying for a 12th year as central banks join investors buying bullion to diversify assets. Holdings in exchange-traded products are at a record, data compiled by Bloomberg show, and central banks are also adding to their holdings. Silver has “scope” for a 20 percent rally from the current levels, the bank said.

Bank of America expects grain prices to ease gradually into 2013, while “precariously low inventories” can drive prices higher at the start of the year, it said.

Source: BofA Favors Gold, Copper for 2013 as Commodities Outlook Neutral

Gold’s Buyable Bounce

Posted on November 13, 2012 by Angela Stern

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Your reasons for owning gold don’t matter to me right now. It could be that you want to protect yourself from the declining dollar. Or perhaps you believe foreign demand will increase prices. Readers of these pages will have plenty of ammo for a bullish gold argument at hand. So, rather than lecture you on why you should have your very own stash of shiny yellow metal Instead, I want to help you buy it for the best possible price.

Even if you’re a long-term investor, it’s important for you to time your gold purchase in order to get the most out of the investment. And right now could well be an excellent buying opportunity…

Shortly after gold started to move higher in September, I told my readers about three new buying opportunities to exploit before gold attempts to make new all-time highs. Despite its recent breakout, gold had simply moved too far, too fast. That’s why I thought you should wait for a better-timed entry, instead of getting caught chasing the price.

Here’s what I wrote in September:

“Gold is running out of gas as it approaches resistance at $1,800. It will probably need to rest or retrace before attacking $1,800…

“If and when a pullback occurs, give gold several days to a couple of weeks to move down and/or sideways. Eventually, the price will tell you where and when support will be.

“Once gold moves higher from its new support level, you will have found your low-risk entry point. If I had to guess right now, I would say you might have an opportunity to buy near $1,725…”

What Role (if any) will Having Elected an Incumbent Democrat Have on Short-Term Prices of Gold and Silver?

Posted on November 13, 2012 by Angela Stern

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PMBG Announces Expected Outcomes Coming out of the Gates of last Week’s Election

Several IRA account holders are putting gold into their IRAs as a part of retirement asset diversification, which can even out the value of their portfolio even during a weak period in the stock market. Precious Metal Brokerage Group International (PMBG) presents their insight into how the recent election may or may not affect those who invest in Gold IRAs.

With the presidential election decided, the market responded ahead of, during and after Election Day itself. Gold is expected to continue its rise in 2013, reaching up to the $2,000 mark (conservatively) – or likely higher (per most analyst’s projections). On Oct. 23, Deutsche Bank analysts called for gold to exceed $2,200 an ounce next year. This came in light of the stimulus measures by central banks. (http://beforeitsnews.com/gold-and-precious-metals/2012/11/gold-silver-and-the-us-election-2455194.html)

See Full Press Release Here: http://www.prweb.com/releases/2012/11/prweb10112673.htm

What role (if any) will electing an incumbent Democrat or a 1st-term Republican have on short-term prices of Gold and Silver?

Posted on November 5, 2012 by Angela Stern

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PMBG announces expected outcomes coming out of the gates of next week’s election!

Several IRA account holders are putting gold into their IRAs as a part of fund diversification, which can even out the value of their portfolio even during a weak period in the stock market. Precious Metal Brokerage Group International (PMBG) presents their insight into how to invest in gold IRAs.

With the presidential election less than one week away, market watchers are estimating what kind of impact a Mitt Romney win would have on the markets, including gold prices. Gold is expected to continue its rise in 2013, reaching up to the $2,000 mark – or higher. On Oct. 23, Deutsche Bank analysts called for gold to exceed $2,200 an ounce next year. This came in light of the stimulus measures by central banks. (http://beforeitsnews.com/gold-and-precious-metals/2012/11/gold-silver-and-the-us-election-2455194.html)

Gold prices generally languish in a year leading up to a U.S. presidential election and silver prices tend to weaken as well. Bad economic news and geopolitical concerns spur investors to buy gold and silver. “For one thing, the incumbent tries to keep the public focused on any positive economic news, and that isn’t good for gold,” says Terry Hanlon, president of Dillon Gage Metals in Dallas, adding that “If the past is any guide, this may be a good time to invest in precious metal coins like U.S. gold and silver American Eagles or Canadian Maple Leafs, looking for them to rise in value after the November election.”

Reed Full Press Release Here: http://www.prweb.com/releases/2012/11/prweb10092674.htm